Monday, January 31, 2011
Sunday, January 30, 2011
Saturday, January 29, 2011
Friday, January 28, 2011
Unconfirmed reports indicate that police have started joining the protesters. This is very bad news for the regime. Information out of Egypt is coming largely for Arab satellite channels right now. The internet should be re-connected in Egypt at 5pm Cairo time, or 10am Washington time.
Thursday, January 27, 2011
Wednesday, January 26, 2011
Tuesday, January 25, 2011
In Egypt, about 15,000 protesters marched in Cairo today, and protests continue into the night. The protests appear to have been organized on Facebook as part of a Day of Rage. The primary thing to watch for in Egypt will be the reaction of the Mubarak government. It will likely be strong, but could backfire should it capture the attention of the Arab world and international community. Given the foreign aid the US gives to Egypt (overshadowed only by US foreign aid to Israel), and tonight's State of the Union speech, the US is not likely to play a major role in what happens over the next few days or weeks.
In Lebanon, protests broke out over news that the new Prime Minister would be the Hizbullah-backed Najib Miqati. The news is mixed. Now that the government is officially Hizbullah-aligned, the party will have more control over Lebanese policy. However, it will also bear more responsibility. The international community and US will need to be careful to deal with Lebanon in a way which legitimizes good governance, but de-legitimizes the radical elements of Hizbullah's agenda.
In the Palestinian Territories, Al-Jazeera's release of the Palestine Papers is likely to de-legitimize the status quo elites in the Palestinian Authority and will likely damage the peace process. Given the blatantly anti-Israel nature of the documents and the coverage surrounding them on both Al-Jazeera English and The Guardian, Israel is not likely to be reaping much benefit either.
Why are these events getting the blogosphere and the twitters all hot and bothered? Because much of it is unprecedented. What's going to happen in the future? Honestly, no one really knows. If someone tells you otherwise, it should send up a red flag. Stay tuned, readers.
Tuesday, January 18, 2011
Lebanon and Tunisia Analysis Roundup
Middle East Discussion Group (MEDG), Young Professionals in Foreign Policy
January 18, 2010
The YPFP Middle East Discussion Group focuses on political, security, sociological, and cultural trends in the contemporary Middle East and North Africa as well as the United States' relationship with and role in the region.
Jasmine Revolution in Tunisia
List - Click here
Please direct inquiries on Tunisia to this group member:
Private Foreign Policy Consultant
Special Tribunal On Lebanon Issues Indictment
List - Click here
Please direct inquiries on Lebanon to these group members:
James Stocker, Ph.D
Graduate Institute of Geneva